Ballistic Missile Defense:  Put the Navy In the Lead!

by Bart L. Denny

Disclaimer:  Opinions expressed in this paper are the author’s and do not necessarily represent the official view of any component, service, or agency within the U.S. Department of Defense.

            The U.S. Navy has an emerging capability to defend against short-to-intermediate range ballistic missiles in the mid-course and terminal phases of flight residing in evolved versions of its long-serving Standard Missile and Aegis Weapons System.  Sea-based ballistic missile defenses appear, at first glance, to be a capability first envisioned within the last 15 years and embraced only reluctantly by the Navy admiralty near the dawn of the twenty-first century.  While it is true that the Navy did not aggressively pursue a role in early ballistic missile defense systems, concepts for sea-based ballistic missile defense date back over half a century.[1]  With further development, sea-based ballistic missile defenses will give the United States the capability to defeat even the largest, most long-range missiles in all phases of flight.  Sea-based systems and their land-based derivatives could potentially replace systems currently in development, while enhancing the flexibility of the nation’s ballistic missile defenses, reducing development and production costs, and fielding systems sooner than presently planned.

Maritime Ballistic Missile Defense:  Early Concepts

            The U.S. Navy first proposed the Talos missile for use as an anti-ballistic missile (ABM) in 1959, though this proposal rapidly withered with neither the enthusiastic support of the Navy Department secretariat nor the admiralty.[2]  The U.S. Navy began the Typhon missile program in 1957, under the auspices of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.  This ramjet-powered missile could cruise at Mach 4.7, flying to an altitude of up to 100,000 feet.[3]  The Navy intended to pair Typhon with the AN/SPG-59 radar system, which would have been the first U.S. phased array radar.  The electronically scanned radar faces would have been capable of simultaneously tracking and providing fire control illumination of numerous air targets when coupled with massive shipboard computing power.[4]  Conceptually, the Typhon/SPG-59 combination was the progenitor of today’s Aegis/Standard Missile/SPY-1 system, and even in the early 1960s, proponents within the Navy saw potential uses for Typhon in ballistic missile defense.[5]

            Fielding Typhon would have presented numerous challenges for the fleet.  Miniaturizing radar components to the degree required by phased array radars was difficult in those days, and the radar transmitter elements suffered from extremely poor reliability.  The SPG-59 radar was so large—and demanding of electrical power—that only a large cruiser-type vessel, likely nuclear powered, would have been able to accommodate the system.[6]  Computers that were state of the art when the U.S. was developing Typhon, while extremely modest in capability by today’s standards, required enormous amounts of space, cooling capacity, and electrical power.  While the Typhon missile flew nine times from 1961 to 1963, the state of the art in radars and computing was not up to the task of producing the desired multi-targeting capabilities within the constraints on space and power placed on it by the shipboard setting.  Typhon further lacked the reliability and maintainability required in the maritime environment.[7]  The Navy cancelled Typhon in 1965.[8]

            Early ideas for maritime ballistic missile defense did not end with Typhon, however.  In the late 1960s, the Navy and industry advanced a concept known as SABMIS (for Sea-based Anti-Ballistic Missile Interceptor System), as a complement or alternative to the Sentinel and Safeguard ABM systems under development for the Army.  In 1967, Navy planners led by Rear Admiral George Miller envisioned a force of six to forty large ships, each displacing about 20,000 tons, equipped with about sixty interceptor missiles.  These interceptors were to have borrowed heavily on technologies developed both for the submarine launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program and for the land-based based missile defense systems under development at the time.[9]  Miller and his group pointed out that missile defenses from the sea would mean that intercepts could take place far from American shores, with debris falling safely away from U.S. territory.[10]  Stationed in the North Atlantic and used in conjunction with land-based defenses, ship-based interceptors would have provided a layered defense of the United States.[11]  U.S. Congressman Richard Anderson, former commanding officer of USS Nautilus (SSN 571), said in 1969 that SABMIS could be ready two years before the Army’s Sentinel, with four ships providing the same coverage as Sentinel at a cost of $2 billion, compared to $5 billion for Sentinel.[12]  In the end, Admiral Thomas Moorer, then Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), would not support SABMIS, and no work on the concept advanced after 1969.[13]

Why were Admiral Miller’s superiors so disinterested in a Navy role in ballistic missile defense?  Publicly, CNO Moorer affirmed in 1969 that he fully supported the President Nixon’s vision of an ABM system that protected ICBM sites using the Safeguard and Sentinel systems.  Admiral Moorer reiterated his position that SABMIS was only conceptual, and not capable of substituting for the land-based systems then in development.[14]  Very likely, Moorer and most of the rest of the admiralty viewed SABMIS as a competitor for resources they preferred to spend on aircraft carriers and the vaunted Polaris ballistic missile program.  Moreover, it is doubtful the Navy saw ballistic missiles as posing the same threat to the fleet as to fixed, land-based targets, and preferred instead to concentrate on defending against the waves of Soviet bombers that the service did view as a tremendous danger to its ships.

            In 1972, U.S. President Richard Nixon and Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev signed the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty.  Article V of the ABM Treaty prohibited development of sea-based ballistic missile defenses, effectively ending a U.S. Navy role in ballistic missile defense for the next two decades.

Maritime Ballistic Missile Concepts in the Era of SDI

            In a March 1983 address to the nation, President Ronald Reagan challenged the paradigm of “mutually assured destruction” setting out a vision where peoples of the free world would live free of the threat of attack by nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles.  As much of the technology development and conceptual systems associated with Reagan’s Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) revolved around space-based defenses, the program quickly earned the moniker “Star Wars.”  By 1991, the Strategic Defense Initiative Organization (SDIO) possessed a more solid understanding of what types of missile defense systems were practical, or even possible, in the near term.  Planners further began to grasp the potential costs associated with large-scale ballistic missile defenses.  President George H. W. Bush re-oriented the program to defend against small-scale attacks or accidental launches.  Known as Global Protection Against Limited Strikes (GPALS), this scaled down version of SDI retained a space-based element, but it also envisioned from 500-to-1000 sea and land-based interceptors using kinetic energy, or “hit-to-kill,” destroying targets by colliding with them at high speed.[15]  GPALS concepts did not specifically advocate a particular naval architecture or weapons system.

Congress was, to say the least, unexcited about GPALS.  Moreover, the Clinton Administration, which took office in 1993, opposed such a national missile defense, preferring instead to stay within the confines of the ABM treaty and to concentrate on treaty-compliant theater missile defense (TMD).[16]  Under the Clinton presidency, the SDIO received a new name that more accurately reflected its new focus:  the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization (BMDO).  Development priorities shifted with the name change, with theater missile defenses receiving 80 percent of the missile defense budget, and programs for so-called national defenses receiving 20 percent of the funding.  This represented an almost complete reversal in funding proportions as compared to the Reagan and Bush-41 years.[17]

Navy Theater Wide and Navy Area Defense

Under the U.S.-Soviet Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty of 1987, both sides eliminated all nuclear-tipped theater ballistic missiles.  Consequently, the Soviets (and later Russia) had little to lose by the United States possessing a capability against such threats and neither the Russians nor the Americans considered theater defenses a violation of ABM Treaty prohibitions on sea-based and land-mobile anti-ballistic missile systems.  The Navy thus began the Lightweight Exo-Atmospheric Projectile (LEAP) program in 1989 in an effort to demonstrate at least some of the basic technologies required for ships to launch ballistic missile interceptors.  From 1992 to 1995, the Navy launched four old Terrier missiles fitted with LEAP payloads from the two pre-Aegis cruisers, USS Jouett and USS Richmond K. Turner.[18]  While Terrier LEAP missiles did not intercept targets (nor were they intended to), they demonstrated the ability to miniaturize the components required to build a kinetic kill vehicle capable of operating outside the atmosphere.

During Operation Desert Storm in 1991, the U.S. Army Patriot missile system proved at least a rudimentary capability to intercept (or at least to deflect) unsophisticated ballistic missiles in flight.  This capability undoubtedly provided Israel with the reassurance that country needed to stay out of the conflict even as Saddam Hussein’s regime fired SCUD missiles into Israeli territory.  Furthermore, Patriot proved the adaptability to ballistic missile defense of weapons systems designed to guard against traditional air-breathing threats.  The Navy, likewise, believed the Aegis Weapons System, with its three-dimensional phased array radars, along with evolved variants of its Standard Missile series—originally designed to protect the fleet against a massive Soviet air attack—could be adapted to the theater ballistic missile defense role.

By the mid-1990s, the U.S. Navy intended to field two missiles capable of ballistic missile defense.  Both relied upon the sensors and computing power of the Aegis Weapons System.  The Navy Theater Wide (NTW) defense (later called Navy Upper Tier) was to use kill vehicles developed in the Terrier LEAP program, launched by the Standard Missile Three (SM-3), which added a new first stage to the basic SM-2 design (the first and second stages of SM-2 would, then, serve as second and third stages of SM-3, respectively).  At 21 inches in diameter, the new first stage was considerably larger in girth than the SM-2 (13.5 inches), and was the biggest size that could fit into the cells of the Navy’s Mark 41 Vertical Launch System.  An infrared seeker, with the ability to discriminate warheads from debris and decoys, was to provide guidance to the missile.  The Navy envisioned that NTW missiles could intercept medium-range ballistic missiles in mid-course, or even intermediate range ballistic missiles high in their terminal phase.  The Navy began test flights of SM-3 in 2000, and in 2002, the second SM-3 ever to fly destroyed its target.[19]

To defend against ballistic missiles and warheads late in their terminal phase—ostensibly protecting the both the fleet and marines near the shore—the Navy planned a modified version of its venerable SM-2 missile as the centerpiece of its Navy Area Defense program.  The SM-2 Block IVA was to add an infrared seeker, to the SM-2, which used a blast fragmentation warhead to destroy its target with shrapnel.  The Block IVA variant, which retained the ability of SM-2 to intercept air-breathing threats, began test flights in 1997 aboard two Aegis cruisers—USS Lake Eerie and USS Port Royal—equipped with the developmental “Linebacker” software system (Naval Studies Board 2001, 107).

In a 2001 study, the Naval Studies Board of the National Academy of Sciences called both Navy Area Defense and Navy Theater Wide defense, “essential if naval forces are to operate in littoral areas.”[20]  Apparently neither the BMDO leadership nor the Clinton administration viewed maritime ballistic missile defenses as a near-term prospect, believing a viable sea-based anti-missile capability would not emerge before 2010 (Graham 2003, 362).  In fact, former BMDO director Mal O’Neill, an Army lieutenant general, once called the program a “science project.”[21]

Admiral Jay Johnson, for one, believed differently.  In 2000, late in his term as Chief of Naval Operations, Johnson took Defense Secretary Cohen and the BMDO’s leadership to task for dismissing the Navy BMD efforts as experimental and for granting that the majority of theater missile defense funding went to the Army’s Theater High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system.[22]  Both the CNO and the Commandant of the Marine Corps stated that Navy Area Defense was their top missile defense priority.  Still, by late 2001, Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Edward C. “Pete” Aldridge cancelled Navy Area Defense (SM-2 Block IVA), based cost breach rules of the Nunn-McCurdy amendment, citing it as 60% over budget (having spent over $2 billion to date) and two years behind schedule.[23],[24]

Post-ABM Treaty:  Sea-based BMD Today

The attacks of September 11, 2001 were the deadliest terrorist acts in the history of the world, and caused the United States to conduct a major reexamination of its security posture.  While the Cold War ended nearly a decade before, the new world security situation proved even more volatile.  As one result of the American national security reassessment, President George W. Bush announced in December 2001 that the United States would withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty.  While Mr. Bush was quick to call Russia a friend of America, he cited the emerging threat from rogue states as reason the U.S. now found remaining a signatory to the ABM Treaty untenable.

In 2002, then-CNO Admiral Vern Clark spelled out his vision for a revised maritime strategy, known as “Sea Power 21.”  One of the pillars of Sea Power 21, the Sea Shield concept made clear that Admiral Clark considered ballistic missile defense a core Navy mission.[25]  Vice Admirals Mike Bucchi and Mike Mullen, the authors of the Sea Shield portion of Clark’s Sea Power 21, spelled out the need to defend the “sea base” and forward sea ports of debarkation from ballistic missile attack.[26]  After succeeding Clark as CNO in 2005, Mullen later reiterated the Navy’s commitment to ballistic missile defense in the 2006 Naval Operations Concept.[27]

As of today, the Aegis BMD Program SM-3 Block I missile—once known as Navy Theater Wide defense—has successfully intercepted ballistic missile targets outside the earth’s atmosphere in nine of eleven attempts, with testing continuing.[28]  In 2003, Congress reversed the Defense Department’s cancellation of the Navy Area Defense program, directing the Navy to reactivate its 100-odd SM-2 Block IVA missiles, and providing $25 million in funds—directly to the Navy, independent of the MDA—to test and field the missiles as an emergency “Near-Term Sea-based Terminal Defense System.”[29]

“The Congress’s action was huge,” retired Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel L. J. Carino, a senior air defense analyst with the United States Central Command related.  “We were shocked in 2001, when the Under Secretary (of Defense for Acquisition) cancelled the program.  For years, we (at Central Command), along with the other combatant commanders, loudly stated in our IPL that sea-based terminal defenses were our number one missile defense priority.”[30]  Carino shook his head.  “What’s more the Chairman (of the Joint Chiefs of Staff) had certified in writing that the program was critical.  I mean, basing rights are a big deal in the CENTCOM AOR (area of responsibility); not a lot of countries in the Middle East are eager to see battalions of Patriot missiles—and the American soldiers who operate and maintain them—rolling onto their soil.  With the Aegis ships, we can station in international waters without causing political discomfort for the governments of our Middle Eastern partners.”  Colonel Carino added, “It’s a limited capability; only a few ships that were involved in the 1990s ‘Linebacker’ tests are able to shoot the (SM-2) Block IVA, but if you need it in an emergency, it’s there.”[31]

In May 2006, USS Lake Eerie demonstrated the capability of the SM-2 Block IVA in a successful terminal phase engagement against a ballistic missile target.[32]

Aegis warships are not the only sea-based element of the U.S. ballistic missile defense system.  The Sea-Based X-band Radar (SBX) supports long-range ballistic missile defenses—primarily the GBI missiles in Alaska and California—by way of large phased array radar based installed atop a modified oil-drilling platform built in Russia and modified in Brownsville, Texas.[33]  Combined with the power of its X-band radar—providing nearly ocean-wide area coverage—and the mobility of its platform, the SBX can provide radar coverage to any part of the world.  The SBX can track extremely small objects, discriminate between warheads and decoys, and relay tracking data to the BMDS command and control system.[34]

Future Prospects for Sea-based BMD

With the introduction of planned (or easily introduced) upgrades and new systems, sea-based platforms will provide increasingly robust capabilities to detect, track, and intercept ballistic missiles of all ranges in the boost, mid-course, and terminal phases of flight.  Such added wherewithal will make the sea-based component of the U.S. Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) a truly national system in its own right.

Boost Phase Defenses

            The ability to intercept a ballistic missile while it is still in powered ascent, a portion of its trajectory known as the boost phase, remains a capability in development.  It is difficult to understate the importance of boost phase defense, however.  An effective boost phase defense serves as a force multiplier, intercepting missiles before they can deploy warheads and countermeasures (presenting interceptors with only one target, rather than multiple targets).  Every missile intercepted in the boost phase is a missile that mid-course phase and terminal phase defenses do not have to contend with, enhancing the overall effectiveness of the BMDS.  Another added benefit of boost phase defense is that intercept debris are more likely to crash in the launching nation’s own territory, possibly serving as a deterrent against launching the missile in the first place (especially if the missile’s warhead is chemical, biological, or nuclear).[35]         

The Missile Defense Agency tasked Northrop Grumman as the prime contractor for the Kinetic Energy Interceptor, or KEI.  Under current funding KEI is a land-based system, designed to emplace relatively close to enemy ballistic missile launch sites, intercepting hostile missiles in the boost phase.  Recognizing the mobility provided by sea basing the KEI, the MDA advocates a maritime version of the system.  Unlike the Standard Missile family, KEI—at 89-centimeters in diameter—is far too large to fit in the Navy’s Mark 41 Vertical Launch System, or for that matter, within the confines of present-day cruiser and destroyer hulls.  Developing the infrastructure to support a sea-based KEI will require the Navy and MDA to embark on a lengthy and extremely expensive acquisition program.[36]

As a possible alternative to an expensive new warship, the MDA could procure a commercial hull (much as it did with the SBX platform), mounting numerous KEI launchers only slightly modified from their land-based counterparts.  This KEI ship may be no more than a barge, pulled on station by a tugboat.  The KEI ship would operate in company with a Navy Aegis ship—or future CG(X) cruiser—that would provide fire control data from its radars to the missile system on the KEI ship.  The warship would also provide protection against surface, air, and submarine targets for the unarmed KEI ship.  At least one study suggests that KEI could utilize the Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine as a launch platform.[37]  The KEI would certainly fit within the missile tubes of these enormous submarines.  The U.S. Navy already possesses a system, known as “Cooperative Engagement Capability,” that allows one ship to provide tracking and fire control data to another ship that launches an air defense missile, effectively extending the range of Navy’s air defense systems, so no seaborne KEI launch platform need be fitted with expensive radars or fire control systems.[38]

There may be an even less expensive way to attain a sea-based capability to intercept ballistic missiles in the boost phase.  According the Independent Working Group on Missile Defense and the Space Relationship 2007 Report, the Navy and MDA could modify the SM-3 Block II missile—now under development to intercept an ICBM in the mid-course phase of flight—to perform boost-phase intercepts.  To perform boost-intercepts, the Independent Working Group says that the MDA could adapt the Advanced Technology Kill Vehicle (ATKV), developed during the late 1980s, for use on the SM-3 Block II.  The ATKV, the Working Group says, is small and light enough to fit on the SM-3 Block II, but capable of attaining the high velocities needed to intercept ballistic missiles in the boost phase.[39]

Mid-course Phase Defenses

By 2015, the U.S. Navy, the Missile Defense Agency, and Japan’s Maritime Self Defense Force (JMSDF) intend to have jointly upgraded the Standard Missile SM-3, enlarging the missile to 21-inches in diameter along the entire length of the missile.[40]  With the Block II variant, SM-3 will possess the speed required to intercept intercontinental ballistic missiles in mid-course flight.[41]  The U.S. and Japan could further enhance the effectiveness of SM-3 Block II by adding the Multiple Kill Vehicle (MKV) technology now under development by MDA.[42]  Fitted with MKV, a single SM-3 Block II would ostensibly have the capability to destroy multiple warheads dispatched from the same threat ballistic missile.

Terminal Phase Defenses

While the service possesses a terminal phase interceptor in its SM-2 Block IVA, the Navy considers the current missile a “limited, emergency capability.”[43]  The Navy still requires a robust terminal-phase missile defense.  Indeed, Admiral Mullen (later to become CNO) said in 2002 that, “The cancellation of the Navy Area missile defense program left a huge hole in our developing basket of missile defense capabilities.  Cancelling the program didn’t eliminate the warfighting requirement.”[44]

Given the requirement to protect ships operating in the littoral, marines operating near the shore, and the seaports where the majority of all American military equipment (not just the Navy and Marine Corps) arrives from the U.S., advanced sea-based terminal defenses are critical.  The Navy considered a sea-based variant of the Army’s Patriot PAC-3, but could also choose to continue developing its Standard Missile series to fulfill the terminal defense role.  The Navy is already developing the Standard Missile-6 (SM-6) Extended Range Active Missile as an incremental improvement to its air defenses.  According to its manufacturer, Raytheon, the SM-6, which builds upon the SM-2 Block IVA airframe, adding a seeker from the AIM-120 missile could provide a long-term solution to the Navy’s ballistic missile defense needs.[45]

Sea-based BMD:  The Best Choice During Times of Financial Constraint

            Since the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will likely remain a huge drain as a huge draw on America’s military resources, Defense Department leaders (both military and civilian) will undoubtedly look for ways to economize.  Ballistic missile threats across the globe will not diminish, however, and the need to defend the homeland, deployed American forces, and U.S. allies will continue or even become more urgent.  Given both constrained resources and the enduring need for missile defenses, the United States should place a higher priority on its sea-based systems than on other land-based or airborne weapons or sensors.  In particular, the Department of Defense should further modify and upgrade the Aegis Weapons System to a true national missile defense asset.

Naval assets provide unprecedented mobility, able to reach station anywhere across more than two thirds of the globe in just days (in many places land-based forces simply cannot reach), ready to fight upon arrival, and to stay on station indefinitely.  Ships do not require airlift, nor do they rely upon the good will of foreign governments to provide basing rights.  Aegis BMD ships also provide a “long range surveillance and tracking” function, utilizing the AN/SPY-1 radar to provide missile track data to other Aegis ships and to the land-based elements of BMDS.[46]

When not tasked with ballistic missile defense, the Navy’s Aegis ships perform maritime interdiction, cruise missile strikes, anti-submarine warfare, anti-ship warfare, shore bombardment, and a host of other tasks.  While critics argue that ships are more expensive to build, operate, and maintain than land-based missile launchers, such multi-mission capability makes allows the costs of the ship to be borne across a wide spectrum of warfare areas, and makes the Aegis ship a superb value.  Further, the Aegis BMD system relies upon a well-established base of Navy and contractor support.  Indeed, the U.S. has invested over $60 billion in the Aegis infrastructure separate of efforts to incorporate BMD capabilities into the system.[47]

While it takes several years from placing an order to build an Aegis warship and its associated combat systems, this is nothing to the decades required to develop new weapons systems.  The Aegis BMD ships already operationally deploy with the fleet.  Meanwhile, the Army’s THAAD is still in developmental testing, twelve years after its first test flight—ironic, since THAAD proponents claimed in the 1990s that the system represented a far more mature anti-ballistic missile capability than Aegis.  In fact, Aegis BMD test flights, including Terrier LEAP technology demonstrations, boast an 82 percent success rate since 1992.  The THAAD missile, by comparison, failed in six of eight tests in the late 1990s, prompting the DoD to stop flight tests in 2000 for five years of major redesign work before beginning test flights anew.[48]  Similarly, SM-3 compares favorably with the 78 percent success rate seen in the Ground-Based Interceptor test program.[49]  Indeed, Ambassador Henry Cooper, a former SDIO director, has consistently stated that the sea-based BMD program involves the most mature technology of any system in the U.S. BMDS and is the most ready for deployment.[50]

            With its ready availability, solid infrastructure base, and mature technology, along with the advantages inherent in sea basing, Aegis BMD represents a logical choice for most countries with a navy.  In applications where sea-based assets cannot provide the necessary sensor or weapon coverage, ground-mobile derivatives of naval systems could present a quick and cost-effective solution to ballistic missile defense requirements.  Allies will further benefit from the ability of its Aegis BMD systems to interoperate with the U.S. BMDS command and control architecture.

Given an immediate commitment by the U.S. Government to do so, maritime ballistic missile defense assets—building almost entirely on the mature and robust Aegis infrastructure—could provide the full spectrum of boost, mid-course, and terminal defense against missiles from the SRBM class to large ICBM types by 2015.  This capability will come at a fraction of the price of other weapons systems where the Defense Department must build the system infrastructure from scratch.

RECOMMENDATIONS 

With all of this flexibility and potential for further growth, the United States should elevate the maritime BMD program to predominance in its National Missile Defense system.  In support of this paradigm shift, the U.S. Navy and Missile Defense Agency should (in priority order):

1.  Modify all of the Navy’s planned 84 Aegis-equipped ships to include BMD capability (present plans call for only 18 ships to receive these alterations).  At present-day prices, the Navy can accomplish this capability at a cost of $10.5 million and six weeks’ time (the modifications could be done concurrently with other shipyard maintenance).[51]  By leveraging the economies of scale and by shifting its Aegis Weapons System computers to an open architecture, as it plans, the Navy could further substantially reduce the per ship cost of adding BMD capability to the entire cruiser and destroyer fleet.

2.  Procure additional SM-3 Block IA missiles.  The present acquisition program is for 147 missiles, yet recent DoD studies indicate this inventory is insufficient for the potential wartime scenarios the U.S. is likely to face in the near term.[52]

3.  Accelerate the SM-3 Block II program.  If financial constraints are at issue, sacrifice additional Ground-Based Interceptors (GBI, based at Vandenberg Air Force Base and Fort Greeley, Alaska) to field a sea-based anti-ICBM capability as soon as possible.

4.  Proceed immediately with the acquisition of the Standard Missile-6, which will provide both cruise missile defense and long-term terminal defense against ballistic missiles.  Divert resources from the THAAD program, if required.  This will give an urgently needed capability to protect the fleet, seaports of debarkation, and other critical assets and deployed forces along the world’s coasts.

5.  Add ATKV technologies to the SM-3 program immediately, with the aim of fielding sea-based boost phase defense by 2015 and taking advantage of the existing Aegis infrastructure.  If funding constraints will not permit the simultaneous development of the KEI and the SM-3 boost defense capability, defer development of Northrop Grumman’s KEI in favor of ship-based and land-mobile SM-3/ATKV.

6.  Add Multiple Kill Vehicle (MKV) capability to the SM-2 Block IIA.  This will provide sea-based missile defenses with the ability to intercept multiple warheads from a single threat ballistic missile.  The MKV is an important force multiplier, which could significantly lower the stresses placed on terminal phase defenses.

7.  Study the benefits and feasibility of building another SBX.  SBX is inherently mobile, while other comparable radars are fixed, land-based sites, giving missile defense planners tremendous flexibility in tailoring sensor coverage to myriad situations.  The MDA should give priority to another SBX before it builds or modernizes any land-based radar.

8.  Study the feasibility of building land-based systems that take advantage of the Aegis and Standard Missile technologies and support infrastructure as a means of further cost savings.  This measure could also improve interoperability between land-based and sea-based BMD systems.

9.   Encourage foreign operators of Aegis to add BMD capability to their fleets.[53]  Work with allied Navies that operate advanced phased array radar systems to develop a BMD capability that is interoperable with Aegis and the Standard Missile series.[54]

10.  As part of the spiral development of the BMDS as a whole, the Missile Defense Agency must redouble its efforts to deal with maneuvering warheads, advanced decoys, and the more exotic countermeasures that will undoubtedly arise in response to America’s deployment of an effective missile shield.  These problems are not unique to sea-based missile defenses.  However, the MDA should place priority on first upgrading the sea-based systems to deal with such threats and countermeasures.

Conclusion

            While sea-based ballistic missile defenses cannot entirely replace ground-based systems (nor should they), they offer an inherently mobile, flexible capability, potentially effective against all ballistic missiles in every phase of flight.  Given the ability to place sea-based sensors and weapons in areas inaccessible to their landlocked counterparts—a sizeable battlespace, considering the oceans cover more than two-thirds of the globe—the BMDS could not effectively function without its maritime element.[55]  The Navy’s Aegis BMD system is technologically mature, yet can still evolve to receive new capabilities.  Many of America’s allies operate the Aegis Weapons System, or conceptually similar shipboard systems compatible with the Standard Missile family.  In a fiscally constrained environment, the United States would do well to place its research and acquisition priorities on sea-based missile defenses.  When land-based anti-missile systems are required to provide coverage for the limited areas sea-based systems cannot defend, the U.S. missile defense program should leverage the infrastructure, research, and hardware systems of the maritime ballistic missile defense element, essentially converting nautical systems to land-based versions.  This approach, centered on sea-based and maritime derivative systems will allow the U.S. to field more ballistic missile defense capabilities in a shorter time.
Glossary

ABM               Anti-Ballistic Missile

ATKV             Advanced Technology Kill Vehicle

BMD               Ballistic Missile Defense

BMDO            Ballistic Missile Defense Organization

BMDS             Ballistic Missile Defense System

CENTCOM    U.S. Central Command

CNO               Chief of Naval Operations

DoD                Department of Defense

GBI                 Ground-Based Interceptor

GPALS           Global Protection Against Limited Strikes

ICBM              Intercontinental Ballistic Missile

INF                 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (Treaty)

IRBM              Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile

KEI                 Kinetic Energy Interceptor

LEAP              Light Exo-Atmospheric Projectile

MAD               Mutually Assured Destruction

MDA               Missile Defense Agency

MRBM            Medium Range Ballistic Missile

NAD               Navy Area Defense

NTW               Navy Theater Wide

SBX                Sea-Based X-band Radar

SDI                 Strategic Defense Initiative

SDIO              Strategic Defense Initiative Organization

SABMIS         Sea-based Anti-Ballistic Missile Interceptor System

SM                  Standard Missile

SRBM             Short Range Ballistic Missile

THAAD          Theater High Altitude Area Defense

TMD               Theater Missile Defense


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